Espanyol's King's Cup Exit: A Data-Driven Breakdown of Their 0-1 Loss to Athletic Bilbao

Espanyol’s Tactical Collapse: By the Numbers
The Ghost Goal That Set the Tone
Let’s start with the elephant in the room: Joselu’s 24th-minute ‘goal’ that never was. My tracking data shows his positioning was 2.3 yards offside when Montes headed the ball—a brutal miscalculation from a striker who usually maintains 98th percentile offside awareness (per Opta). This wasn’t just bad luck; it was a symptom of Espanyol’s rushed build-up play averaging 22% faster than their La Liga tempo according to my motion capture models.
Defensive Roulette at San Mamés
Coach Diego Martínez’s backline decisions baffled me. Starting Cabrera over Lozano meant sacrificing 18cm in aerial reach against Bilbao’s physical frontline. The numbers don’t lie: Bilbao won 73% of aerial duels (compared to Espanyol’s season average of 58%). That tactical gamble directly enabled Nico Williams’ 27th-minute winner—a cross our projection models flagged as high-danger 8 seconds before delivery.
Substitution Mysteries
Why pull Darder—our most creative midfielder with 4.3 xGChain/90—in the 62nd minute? Replacing him with Melamed shifted our xG (expected goals) from 0.78 to 0.32 in the final half-hour. Meanwhile, waiting until the 79th minute to introduce fresh fullbacks felt criminal when Bilbao was clearly targeting our exhausted wings.
Key Stat: Second Half Possession
Metric | Espanyol | Bilbao |
---|---|---|
Pass Accuracy | 68% | 83% |
Final Third Entries | 9 | 17 |
Shots Created | 3 | 11 |
This wasn’t just a loss—it was a systemic failure. As we prepare for Betis this weekend, someone needs to explain why we treated the Cup like a midseason friendly.
WindyCityStats
Hot comment (5)

When Numbers Tell the Painful Truth
That ‘ghost goal’ wasn’t just offside - Joselu was in another postcode! My models show his positioning was closer to Bilbao’s bus than the last defender.
Aerial Battle? More Like Aerial Massacre
Starting Cabrera over Lozano cost them 18cm in height - that’s basically giving Bilbao a ladder! No wonder they won 73% of headers.
Substitution Strategy: Mystery Box Edition
Pulling Darder (4.3 xGChain/90) was like unplugging your computer during an update. And those late fullback changes? Might as well have sent them on in wheelchairs.
Data doesn’t lie folks - this was a tactical car crash. Anyone got an algorithm to explain these decisions?

Espanyol vs Bilbao: Data Bicara Lebih Keras!
Kalian lihat pertandingan tadi malam? Joselu yang biasanya jago menghindari offside kali ini kebobolan juga, 2,3 yard offside! Kayaknya dia lupa bawa penggaris. 😂
Dan keputusan pelatih Diego Martínez? Ganti pemain malah bikin xG anjlok dari 0,78 ke 0,32. Kalo gitu mending ganti pelatihnya sekalian deh!
Yang paling lucu, Bilbao menang 73% duel udara. Espanyol kayak main bulu tangkis di lapangan sepakbola!
Data-datanya jelas banget: ini bukan sekedar kekalahan, tapi masterclass dalam cara kalah. Kalian setuju? Atau ada yang mau bela Espanyol? 😏

গোলের গণিতে ফেল মার্কা!
জোসেলুর অফসাইড পজিশন দেখে মনে হচ্ছে সে GPS নকল করেছে! ২.৩ গজ অফসাইড? এটা কোনো স্ট্রাইকার নাকি রিকশাওয়ালার পজিশনিং? 😂
ডিফেন্সের নামে বিপর্যয়
কাবরেরাকে দিয়ে লোজানোকে বেঞ্চে বসানো? কোচ সাহেব নিশ্চয় ফিফা মোবাইল গেম খেলছেন! এর চেয়ে তো আমাদের বাংলাদেশি টিমের ডিফেন্সও ভালো!
আপনাদের কি মনে হয় নাকি এস্পানিওল আসলে ‘এক্সপেক্টেড গোল’ বুঝতেই পারে না? কমেন্টে জানান! #গোলের_গণিত

O gol fantasma que definiu o jogo
Joselu estava tão fora de jogo que quase marcou no Campeonato Carioca! 2,3 jardas de diferença - isso não é erro de linha, é falta de atenção mesmo.
Defesa virou roda-gigante
Trocar Lozano por Cabrera foi como mandar um zagueiro do Flamengo marcar o Haaland. 18cm a menos de altura e 73% de duelos aéreos perdidos - matemática básica do fracasso!
Substituições para esquecer
Tirar Darder (4.3 xGChain/90) foi como o Vasco trocando de técnico: só piora a situação. E deixar os laterais até o 79’? Até eu cansava só de ver!
Dados não mentem: essa foi uma derrota encomendada pelo Excel. Alguém avisa o técnico que Copa do Rei não é amistoso pré-temporada?

O Gol Fantasma que Deu o Tom
Joselu estava tão fora de jogo que até o VAR ficou com pena! 2,3 jardas? Isso não é um erro, é uma obra de arte abstrata.
A Roleta Defensiva
Sacrificar 18cm de altura contra o Bilbao? Diego Martínez claramente jogou FIFA no modo aleatório. E adivinhem: Nico Williams fez a festa!
Substituições Misteriosas
Tirar Darder, o único criativo do time, e deixar os laterais morrendo em campo? Parece plano de quem quer voltar mais cedo para casa.
Dados não mentem: isso foi um naufrágio tático. Alguém avisa que a Copa não é amistoso, né? #FicaADica
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