12 La Liga Teams Advance in Copa del Rey: Real Madrid and Barcelona Survive Early Scare

Copa del Rey Round of 32: By the Numbers
Underdogs Bite, Giants Stumble (But Survive)
The Spanish Cup delivered its usual cocktail of chaos and inevitability this week. My Python models predicted a 93% survival rate for top-division clubs, but CD Edeanse giving Athletic Bilbao a first-half scare (before losing 6-1) proved even data needs humility checks.
The Big Guns’ Performance
- Real Madrid: Expected Goals (xG) of 4.2 against Cacereño but only managed 1-0. Benzema’s absence showed in conversion rates.
- Barcelona: Conceded 3 to fourth-tier Intercity FC? Defensive gaps persist despite Lewandowski’s brace (2.7 xG individually).
- Atlético Madrid: Most clinically efficient with 2 goals from 1.4 xG. Simeone’s cup mentality remains terrifying.
Surprise Packages
Third-tier Ceuta eliminating Elche wasn’t luck - their xG of 1.8 vs Elche’s 0.9 shows tactical discipline. Meanwhile, Betis’ 4-1 demolition job (with 78% possession) confirms Manuel Pellegrini’s side as serious contenders.
Key Stat: Only 22% of lower-division teams outperformed their xG against La Liga opponents. The gap isn’t closing yet.
Looking Ahead: Round of 16 Draw
The January 7 draw could produce early Clásicos or Derbis. My probability matrix shows:
- 28% chance of Madrid-Barca before semifinals
- 41% likelihood of at least one all-La Liga matchup
Prediction: Watch for Valencia as bracket assassins - their 3-0 win over La Nucia masked underlying defensive solidity (0.2 xG conceded).
WindyStats
Hot comment (12)

¡El caos de la Copa del Rey no defrauda!
Los grandes como el Real Madrid y Barcelona sobrevivieron, pero no sin sudar. ¡Madrid con 4.2 xG y solo un gol? Sin Benzema, parece que el arco se hizo más chico.
Y el Barça… ¿3 goles encajados ante un equipo de cuarta? Con Lewandowski marcando parece que la defensa se fue de tapas.
Lo mejor: ¡el Ceuta de tercera eliminando al Elche con más táctica que un manual de Simeone!
¿Quién dijo que la copa era aburrida? ¡Comenten sus locuras favoritas!

Piala Raja Spanyol: Tikus Gigit, Gajah Kabur (Tapi Nggak Jatuh!)
Statistik bilang 93% tim papan atas selamat - tapi CD Edeanse hampir bikin Athletic Bilbao keringat dingin! Barcelona kebobolan 3 gol dari tim divisi empat? Kalau gini terus, mungkin mereka perlu bek baru… atau kaca spion!
Real Madrid 1-0: xG 4.2 tapi cuma cetak 1 gol. Tanpa Benzema, finishing mereka kayak aku pas nembak gebetan - gagal fokus!
Yang paling stabil? Atletico Madrid tentu saja. Simeone itu pelatih paling sadis sejak guru matematika SMP ku dulu.
Prediksi seru: Valencia bisa jadi ‘pembunuh gelap’ di babak berikutnya! Kalian setuju? #DerbiAtauClasico

¡Qué locura la Copa del Rey!
Los grandes como el Madrid y el Barça sobrevivieron por los pelos, pero no sin sudar. ¿Quién diría que el Intercity les metería 3 goles al Barça? ¡Hasta mi modelo de Python se quedó sin palabras!
Datos que duelen:
- El Madrid con 4.2 xG y solo 1 gol… Benzema, ¡te echamos de menos!
- El Atlético, siempre eficiente: 2 goles de 1.4 xG. Simeone es un mago.
Sorprendente: Ceuta eliminó al Elche con mejor xG. ¿Estamos viendo el futuro?
¿Ustedes qué piensan? ¿Habrá Clásico antes de semifinales? ¡Comenten abajo!

জায়ান্টদের হাঁপানি!
কোপা দেল রে-তে রিয়াল মাদ্রিদ ও বার্সেলোনার অবস্থা দেখে মনে হচ্ছে তারা যেন ক্যাসিনোতে জিতে গেছে - প্রচুর ঘাম ঝরিয়ে! 🎰
ডেটা বলছে সত্য
মডেল বলেছিল ৯৩% টপ ক্লাব বাঁচবে, কিন্তু Edeanse তো অ্যাথলেটিককে আধা সময় পর্যন্ত ঘাম ছুটিয়েছে! আমার স্ট্যাটসের বইয়ে এটার নাম ‘হিউমিলিটি চেক’ 📉
বার্সার ডিফেন্স?
চতুর্থ বিভাগের Intercity এর কাছে ৩ গোল খেয়েছে? লেওয়ান্দোভস্কি যদি ২.৭ xG নিয়ে থাকেন, তাহলে ডিফেন্ডাররা কী করছিল - স্ন্যাপচ্যাট? 😂
মজাদার ফ্যাক্ট: নিম্ন বিভাগের মাত্র ২২% টিম তাদের xG ছাড়িয়েছে। মানে এখনো আমরা ‘ডেভিড vs গোলিয়াথ’ দেখতে পাচ্ছি না!
কমেন্টে জানাও - তোমার মনে হয় কে হবে এই আসরের ডার্ক হর্স? ভ্যালেনসিয়া নাকি বেটিস?

Tim Besar Hanya Lolos ‘Tipis-tipis’
Data saya bilang 93% tim top bakal lolos, tapi Copa del Rey tetap bikin deg-degan! Barcelona kebobolan 3 gol dari tim divisi 4? Fix ini karena liburannya Lewandowski ke Bali terlalu lama.
Statistik Tak Bohong
xG Real Madrid 4.2 tapi cuma cetak 1 gol. Kayak mau beli nasi padang dapatnya cuma lontong sayur. Tapi yang paling serem tetap Atletico - efisiensi level ninja!
Tim kecil seperti Ceuta bikin malu Elche dengan taktik disiplin. Jangan remehkan yang di bawah, mereka bisa lebih ganas dari macan kumbang!
Besok-besok lihat Valencia - prediksi saya mereka bakal jadi pembunuh senyap di babak selanjutnya.
Kalian pikir siapa yang akan jadi juara? Atau jangan-jangan ada kejutan lagi dari tim kecil?
Les Gros Poissons Frôlent la Catastrophe
La Copa del Rey nous offre encore son lot de surprises ! Le Real et le Barça ont frôlé l’humiliation face à des petites équipes… mais bon, avec un xG de 4.2 pour seulement 1 but, même mes stats en souffrent !
Le Barça et Son Défense Fantôme
Concevoir 3 buts contre Intercity (4e division), c’est comme oublier la baguette chez le boulanger - impardonnable ! Heureusement, Lewandowski était là pour sauver les meubles… et leur fierté.
Petite Pique aux Experts
À ceux qui pensent tout savoir : même mon Python a dû avaler son code quand Edeanse a fait trembler Bilbao avant de perdre 6-1. La preuve que le foot reste un sport humain… trop humain !
Et vous, vous misez sur qui pour les 8èmes ? Valencia m’a l’air diablement solide !

¡La Copa del Rey no defrauda!
Los grandes como el Real Madrid y el Barcelona sobrevivieron por los pelos, pero vamos… ¿con un 1-0 contra el Cacereño y concediendo 3 goles al Intercity? 😂 Mis modelos de Python están llorando en un rincón.
Datos que duelen:
- Benzema falta y el Madrid convierte solo 1 de 4.2 xG. ¿Alguien tiene un delantero de repuesto?
- El Barça defendiendo como si fuera un colador. Lewandowski anota dos pero la defensa parece un equipo de barrio.
Lo mejor: ¡El Ceuta eliminando al Elche con más táctica que un manual de Guardiola! 🎯
¿Quién será el próximo en caer? ¡El sorteo del 7 de enero promete fuego! 🔥 #CopaDelCaos

When Data Meets Drama
My Python models predicted a smooth cruise for La Liga teams… until fourth-tier Intercity FC decided to play ‘How to give Xavi heartburn 101’ against Barca!
xG Police Report
- Real Madrid: 4.2 expected goals, 1 actual goal. Benzema’s absence turned their attack into a ‘find the net’ treasure hunt.
- Atlético? Clinical as always. 2 goals from 1.4 xG - Simeone probably counts these stats while sleeping.
Underdog of the Night
Shoutout to CD Edeanse for giving Athletic Bilbao 45 minutes of pure panic before reality hit (6-1). That’s the Copa del Rey magic!
Drop your ‘biggest upset nightmare’ in comments! ⚽️😅

When Data Meets Drama
My Python models said 93% survival rate for La Liga teams… then CD Edeanse went and gave Athletic Bilbao a first-half heart attack! Even numbers need humility checks sometimes.
Benzema Who?
Real Madrid racked up 4.2 xG against Cacereño but only scored once. Proof that even stats can’t replace Karim’s magic boots. Meanwhile, Barca letting fourth-tier Intercity put three past them? Xavi might need more than Lewandowski’s brace to fix that defense!
Underdog Alert
Shoutout to third-tier Ceuta for actually outplaying Elche (1.8 xG vs 0.9). Meanwhile, Pellegrini’s Betis out here playing possession football like it’s 2012 Barcelona. January draw could bring early Clásicos - place your bets now!
Drop your wildest Copa del Rey predictions below - mine’s another Ceuta miracle run!

বড় দলগুলো কি এবারও পালাবে?
লা লিগের বড় দলগুলো কোপা ডেল রেতে আবারও টিকে গেছে, কিন্তু কীভাবে! রিয়াল মাদ্রিদ আর বার্সেলোনা প্রায় হারতে বসেছিল। বার্সার ডিফেন্স তৃতীয় বিভাগের দলের কাছে ৩ গোল খেয়েছে – বলুন তো, এটা কি নতুন বছরের উপহার?
ডেটা বলছে এক কথা, খেলা বলছে আরেক কথা
আমার ডেটা মডেল বলেছিল ৯৩% চান্সে টিকবে লা লিগ দলগুলো। কিন্তু CD Edeanse তো অ্যাথলেটিক বিলবাওকে প্রথমার্ধে জব্দ করেই ছেড়েছে! ডেটাও এখন হিউমিলিটি চেক নিচ্ছে নাকি?
সবার চোখ এখন ড্রয়ের দিকে
৭ জানুয়ারির ড্রয়ে ক্লাসিকো হওয়ার সম্ভাবনা ২৮%। আমার ক্যালকুলেশন বলছে: সিমেওনের অ্যাটলেটিকো এবার কাপের গুপ্তঘাতক হতে পারে। আপনাদের কী মনে হয়? নিচে কমেন্টে লড়াই শুরু হোক!

Os Grandes quase tombaram!
A Copa do Rei mostrou que até os gigantes tremem: Barça levou 3 gols de um time da 4ª divisão (sim, você leu certo!), e o Real Madrid mal conseguiu 1 gol com xG de 4.2. Alguém avisa o Benzema que estamos em crise?
Destaque para o caos:
- Atlético sendo o único eficiente (2 gols de 1.4 xG). Simeone, o vampiro das Copas, não brinca em serviço.
- Ceuta eliminando o Elche com xG maior? Isso é tão inesperado quanto encontrar um brasileiro que não goste de futebol!
E agora? O sorteio pode nos dar Clásico já nas oitavas! Aposto meu almoço que o Valencia vai ser o “matador silencioso” da vez.
Opinem aí: Quem vai levar a taça ou cair no próximo susto?
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