12 La Liga Teams Advance in Copa del Rey: Real Madrid and Barcelona Survive Early Scare

Copa del Rey Round of 32: By the Numbers
Underdogs Bite, Giants Stumble (But Survive)
The Spanish Cup delivered its usual cocktail of chaos and inevitability this week. My Python models predicted a 93% survival rate for top-division clubs, but CD Edeanse giving Athletic Bilbao a first-half scare (before losing 6-1) proved even data needs humility checks.
The Big Guns’ Performance
- Real Madrid: Expected Goals (xG) of 4.2 against Cacereño but only managed 1-0. Benzema’s absence showed in conversion rates.
- Barcelona: Conceded 3 to fourth-tier Intercity FC? Defensive gaps persist despite Lewandowski’s brace (2.7 xG individually).
- Atlético Madrid: Most clinically efficient with 2 goals from 1.4 xG. Simeone’s cup mentality remains terrifying.
Surprise Packages
Third-tier Ceuta eliminating Elche wasn’t luck - their xG of 1.8 vs Elche’s 0.9 shows tactical discipline. Meanwhile, Betis’ 4-1 demolition job (with 78% possession) confirms Manuel Pellegrini’s side as serious contenders.
Key Stat: Only 22% of lower-division teams outperformed their xG against La Liga opponents. The gap isn’t closing yet.
Looking Ahead: Round of 16 Draw
The January 7 draw could produce early Clásicos or Derbis. My probability matrix shows:
- 28% chance of Madrid-Barca before semifinals
- 41% likelihood of at least one all-La Liga matchup
Prediction: Watch for Valencia as bracket assassins - their 3-0 win over La Nucia masked underlying defensive solidity (0.2 xG conceded).
WindyStats
Hot comment (4)

¡El caos de la Copa del Rey no defrauda!
Los grandes como el Real Madrid y Barcelona sobrevivieron, pero no sin sudar. ¡Madrid con 4.2 xG y solo un gol? Sin Benzema, parece que el arco se hizo más chico.
Y el Barça… ¿3 goles encajados ante un equipo de cuarta? Con Lewandowski marcando parece que la defensa se fue de tapas.
Lo mejor: ¡el Ceuta de tercera eliminando al Elche con más táctica que un manual de Simeone!
¿Quién dijo que la copa era aburrida? ¡Comenten sus locuras favoritas!

Piala Raja Spanyol: Tikus Gigit, Gajah Kabur (Tapi Nggak Jatuh!)
Statistik bilang 93% tim papan atas selamat - tapi CD Edeanse hampir bikin Athletic Bilbao keringat dingin! Barcelona kebobolan 3 gol dari tim divisi empat? Kalau gini terus, mungkin mereka perlu bek baru… atau kaca spion!
Real Madrid 1-0: xG 4.2 tapi cuma cetak 1 gol. Tanpa Benzema, finishing mereka kayak aku pas nembak gebetan - gagal fokus!
Yang paling stabil? Atletico Madrid tentu saja. Simeone itu pelatih paling sadis sejak guru matematika SMP ku dulu.
Prediksi seru: Valencia bisa jadi ‘pembunuh gelap’ di babak berikutnya! Kalian setuju? #DerbiAtauClasico

¡Qué locura la Copa del Rey!
Los grandes como el Madrid y el Barça sobrevivieron por los pelos, pero no sin sudar. ¿Quién diría que el Intercity les metería 3 goles al Barça? ¡Hasta mi modelo de Python se quedó sin palabras!
Datos que duelen:
- El Madrid con 4.2 xG y solo 1 gol… Benzema, ¡te echamos de menos!
- El Atlético, siempre eficiente: 2 goles de 1.4 xG. Simeone es un mago.
Sorprendente: Ceuta eliminó al Elche con mejor xG. ¿Estamos viendo el futuro?
¿Ustedes qué piensan? ¿Habrá Clásico antes de semifinales? ¡Comenten abajo!

জায়ান্টদের হাঁপানি!
কোপা দেল রে-তে রিয়াল মাদ্রিদ ও বার্সেলোনার অবস্থা দেখে মনে হচ্ছে তারা যেন ক্যাসিনোতে জিতে গেছে - প্রচুর ঘাম ঝরিয়ে! 🎰
ডেটা বলছে সত্য
মডেল বলেছিল ৯৩% টপ ক্লাব বাঁচবে, কিন্তু Edeanse তো অ্যাথলেটিককে আধা সময় পর্যন্ত ঘাম ছুটিয়েছে! আমার স্ট্যাটসের বইয়ে এটার নাম ‘হিউমিলিটি চেক’ 📉
বার্সার ডিফেন্স?
চতুর্থ বিভাগের Intercity এর কাছে ৩ গোল খেয়েছে? লেওয়ান্দোভস্কি যদি ২.৭ xG নিয়ে থাকেন, তাহলে ডিফেন্ডাররা কী করছিল - স্ন্যাপচ্যাট? 😂
মজাদার ফ্যাক্ট: নিম্ন বিভাগের মাত্র ২২% টিম তাদের xG ছাড়িয়েছে। মানে এখনো আমরা ‘ডেভিড vs গোলিয়াথ’ দেখতে পাচ্ছি না!
কমেন্টে জানাও - তোমার মনে হয় কে হবে এই আসরের ডার্ক হর্স? ভ্যালেনসিয়া নাকি বেটিস?
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