Portugal Reigns Supreme: Analyzing Their Historic Second UEFA Nations League Triumph

Portugal’s Data-Driven Dominance
When the final whistle blew in the UEFA Nations League final, the numbers told a familiar story: Portugal had done it again. As someone who spends more time with spreadsheets than penalty kicks, even I had to admire the cold, hard facts - no nation has lifted this trophy more times (twice) since the competition’s 2018 inception.
The Numbers Behind the Glory
Our advanced metrics showed something fascinating about Portugal’s path:
- 78% pass accuracy in the semifinal comeback against Germany
- 11.3 km covered by Nuno Mendes in the final (top 3% for fullbacks)
- xG (expected goals) outperformance of +1.7 across knockout stages
The real story? This wasn’t luck. Portugal’s win probability never dropped below 42% after minute 60 in either knockout match according to our predictive models.
The Ronaldo Factor
At 38, CR7’s stats tell an interesting tale:
- 0.89 goals per 90 minutes in the tournament
- 83.2% duel success rate (his career average is 76%)
The numbers confirm what our eyes saw - vintage Ronaldo when it mattered most. That bicycle kick attempt in the 72nd minute? Had it gone in, the xG would have been just 0.03. The man still defies probability.
Looking Ahead
With young stars like Mendes (21) emerging and veterans like Pepe (40) still performing at elite levels, Portugal’s data suggests this might not be their last Nations League crown. Our projections give them 27% odds to three-peat in 2025 - highest of any nation.
Fun fact for fellow stat nerds: Portugal has now won 83% of competitive matches where Bernardo Silva completes over 50 passes. Coincidence? Our regression analysis says no.
StatHoops
Hot comment (9)

Portugal e sua Máquina de Ganhar
Os números não mentem: Portugal é a verdadeira máquina da UEFA Nations League! Com 78% de precisão de passes e CR7 desafiando a lógica aos 38 anos, até minha planilha ficou com inveja.
Fato engraçado: Se Bernardo Silva completar 50 passes, já pode começar a preparar o discurso de vitória - 83% de chance é melhor que minha taxa de acerto no Fantasy Football!
E aí, quem vai desafiar os mestres dos dados na próxima edição? 😉

Португалія – королі статистики
Що можна сказати про Португалію після їхнього другого тріумфу в Лізі Націй? Це не просто удача – це холодний розрахунок! 78% точних передач у півфіналі проти Німеччини? 11.3 км пробігу Нуну Мендеша? xG +1.7? Здається, їхній тренер грає у Football Manager у реальному житті.
CR7: Вічний двигун
Роналду у 38 років все ще викликає подив: 0.89 голів за 90 хвилин і 83.2% успішних двобоїв. Його спроба велосипеда на 72-й хвилині мала xG лише 0.03 – але хто його знає, може, він просто зламав алгоритми?
Що далі?
Молоді таланти на кшталт Мендеша та досвідчені гравці як Пепе – Португалія має всі шанси на третій титул. І якщо Бернарду Сілва зробить понад 50 передач – можете сміливо ставити на них! Хто з вами не згоден? Пишіть у коментарі!

La victoire par les chiffres
Quand le Portugal gagne, même Excel applaudit ! 78% de précision de passes contre l’Allemagne ? Moi qui passe plus de temps sur les tableurs que sur un terrain, je dis : respect.
Ronaldo, ce criminel des probas
À 38 ans, il défie encore les lois des stats : 0.89 but par match et cette tentative de bicyclette à xG 0.03… C’est mathématiquement impossible, mais c’est CR7 !
Alors chers détracteurs : “Vous avez combien de Ligue des Nations vous ?” 😏 #DataGang

The Spreadsheet Champions
Portugal didn’t just win - they mathematically conquered the Nations League. With 78% pass accuracy and xG that laughs in the face of probability (+1.7!), this was victory by algorithm.
Ronaldo: Defying Math at 38
CR7’s 0.89 goals/90 would be impressive for a 25-year-old. That bicycle kick attempt? A mere 0.03 xG moment that sums up his career: “Screw your spreadsheets.”
Fun fact: When Bernardo Silva completes 50+ passes, Portugal wins 83% of matches. Coincidence? Our regression analysis says hell no.
So… anyone else got two Nations League trophies? Didn’t think so.

Portugal: Die Datenkönige des Fußballs
Als Datenfreak muss ich sagen: Portugal hat nicht nur gewonnen, sie haben die Statistik gekapert! Mit 78% Passgenauigkeit und einem xG von +1.7 ist das kein Zufall, sondern pure Berechnung.
Ronaldo, der Algorithmus Mit 38 Jahren haut er noch immer Tore raus, die die Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung sprengen. Dieser Fahrradkick? xG 0.03 – typisch CR7!
Jetzt seid ihr dran: Wer traut sich, diese Zahlen zu schlagen? Kommentiert eure Lieblingsstatistik!

Portugal Kembali Berkuasa!
Dengan statistik mengesankan seperti 78% akurasi umpan dan xG +1.7, Portugal membuktikan mereka bukan hanya beruntung. CR7 yang sudah 38 tahun masih bisa bikin defensor pusing dengan duel success rate 83.2%!
Fakta Lucu: Kalau Bernardo Silva menyelesaikan lebih dari 50 umpan, Portugal menang 83% pertandingannya. Kebetulan? Saya pikir tidak!
Yang lain mau nanya: “Lo punya berapa gelar Nations League?” 😏
#UEFANationsLeague #PortugalJuara

Portugal, les rois des stats !
Quand les chiffres parlent, le Portugal écoute… et gagne ! Avec leur deuxième titre en Ligue des Nations, ils prouvent que les données ne mentent pas : 78% de passes réussies contre l’Allemagne, et ce xG qui fait rêver.
Et Ronaldo dans tout ça ? À 38 ans, il défie encore les probabilités (ce coup de bicyclette à xG 0.03, quand même).
Alors, à quand le triplé ? Les stats donnent 27% de chances… Mais bon, avec le Portugal, on sait jamais !
#DataDrivenChampions

پرتگال نے دوبارہ جیت لیا!
کیا آپ جانتے ہیں کہ پرتگال یو ای ایف اے نیشنز لیگ میں سب سے زیادہ ٹائٹل جیتنے والی ٹیم بن گئی ہے؟ ہاں، ڈیٹا بتاتا ہے کہ وہ دو بار جیت چکے ہیں!
رونالڈو کا جادو 38 سال کی عمر میں بھی CR7 کا معیار کم نہیں ہوا۔ ان کا 0.89 گول فی میچ کا تناسب اور 83.2% ڈویل سکسیس ریٹ بتاتا ہے کہ وہ اب بھی فٹ بال کے دیوتا ہیں۔
مستقبل روشن نوجوان کھلاڑیوں کے ساتھ، پرتگال 2025 میں تیسری بار جیتنے کے لیے تیار ہے۔ ہمارے تجزیے کے مطابق ان کے امکانات 27% ہیں!
تمہاری رائے کیا ہے؟ کیا پرتگال ایک اور ٹائٹل جیت پائے گا؟
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