2亿镑打水漂？埃弗顿重建之路：莫耶斯能否终结浪费循环？

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200 Million Pounds Down the Drain?

Let me be blunt: £200 million in player signings, only to lose them all for free? That’s not bad luck. That’s a statistical nightmare. As someone who builds models for NBA and MLB teams, I’ve seen bad ROI before—but nothing like this.

Everton spent over £188 million on eight players who walked out the door without a penny. Add in Michael Keane potentially leaving too, and we’re flirting with £215 million in pure capital loss. In business terms? That’s bankruptcy-level recklessness.

But here’s what fascinates me: this isn’t just about money—it’s about process. The club had no strategy, no long-term vision, just short-term ‘buy big’ panic cycles.

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The Data Behind the Drama

Let’s run some numbers:

• £25M for Grbacim: 2 Premier League starts. Free move to French Ligue 2 after four years.
• £27M for Tosun: 5 goals in first 14 games… then zero starts over next four seasons.
• £25M for Boras: Only one full season of consistent play before being loaned out five times.

That’s not an outlier—it’s a pattern. And as anyone who uses SQL or Python knows: garbage data in = garbage decisions out.

Now contrast that with O’Brien at £16M (bought back from profit on Onana) or Ndidi at <£17M—both now key players. These are wins because they were data-informed, not ego-driven purchases.

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Moyes Returns—But Is He Enough?

David Moyes is back—for his second stint at Goodison Park. At first glance, it looks like he’s coming to fix chaos. But let me ask you: when your last manager was fired mid-season while barely speaking to owners via WhatsApp (yes, really), how do you rebuild trust?

What surprises me most is that the club has ditched the Football Director role—no more single-person command centers. Now it’s a team-led system under CEO Kinnear: analysts, scouts, ops experts—all working together using real metrics.

Finally! A structure even my stats models could respect.

And yes—I’m joking about my models being sentient—but if you’re running football decisions based on gut feel alone? You’re already behind the curve.

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The Real Rebuild Starts Off-the-Pitch

You know what else changed? Fans are now part of meetings again—with advisory boards getting input directly from leadership. No more ‘text-only’ communication from bosses who never showed up at training sessions.

This isn’t just PR fluff—it reflects cultural change grounded in transparency and accountability. And guess what? Transparency works best when backed by data.

So here’s my take: Moyes won’t win trophies by himself—he needs players ready to buy into structure, discipline… and analytics-driven roles. The new squad won’t be built on flashy names but on measurable fit-for-purpose profiles across defense, midfield depth, and goal-scoring potential—especially up front where they’ve been toothless for years.

They’re tracking Terno Baré from Villarreal—someone who scored against France U21s while playing under pressure conditions similar to Premier League intensity levels (hello again: regression analysis).

** P.S.: If you’re betting on Everton making top-six next year… don’t do it yet—but do keep watching their recruitment model closely.